Unluck: 1/200000
Feb. 16th, 2018 10:44 am![[personal profile]](https://www.dreamwidth.org/img/silk/identity/user.png){kind=small}
izardToday a chain of unlikely events made me come to work an hour late.
I was late and missed my train: happens twice a year, ~1/100
the next suburban train was cancelled: happens every 2 months, ~1/50
I switched to u-bahn+bus, and misses u-bahn by ~1 second, ~1/5 (they come often)
I missed my bus by ~1 second (~1/4*1/2=1/8)
total 1/100*50*5*8=1/200000
Should I start buying lottery tickets or even buy a bitcoin?
I was late and missed my train: happens twice a year, ~1/100
the next suburban train was cancelled: happens every 2 months, ~1/50
I switched to u-bahn+bus, and misses u-bahn by ~1 second, ~1/5 (they come often)
I missed my bus by ~1 second (~1/4*1/2=1/8)
total 1/100*50*5*8=1/200000
Should I start buying lottery tickets or even buy a bitcoin?
