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Entry tags:
coming NBT
I am certain nobody is in doubt that eventually direct thought input to PC will prevail, the only question is when the revolution starts. I think it starts now.
At last electroencephalography is entering consumer market. It's much like a mouse from 1985 yet - I remember one I've used in junior school, it was not very usable. But now any computer has a mouse, and that will likely be the case with EEG input device in same 10 years that it took mouse to become ubiquitous.
It is also a sweet spot for Intel and Intel AEs focused on consumer market. Processing data from 1,3,6 or 14 sensors is heavy DSP and requires multi-core CPUs. Current mobile gadgets don't have the horsepower, but will have once EEG input takes off as mobile chips are consistently 3 generations behind PC chips
I reckon the market will be huge, starting from gamers and medical and spreading to software engineers and then casual users. So it might happen that voice dictating input that Bill is promising every year will never take off being replaced with direct thought input. 60 WPM is achievable with current device that is 160$ in retail.
IP is in drivers, I estimate the hardware's BOM is less then 50$, so rogue Chinese ODMs can easily replicate in volume. I would have still bought some OCZ shares but it's difficult from New Zealand as it's traded on AIM. I would also expect that OCZ's competitors might do better product.As I understand OCZ is just repackaging some other's work (cyberlink?) and Emotive (fellow Aussies :) ) is developing it's own more sophisticated system, decent drivers and API.
Technology does not suffer from negative sides of Metcalfe's law on early stages as it can be used as mouse in casual applications, games and on-screen keyboard(Windows has it since w2k and at last it is useful). When market penetration will be high enough to justify developing new software, it will experience positive effect from Metcalf's law.
P.S. Another thing that I expect soon (5-10 years) and that will play nicely (but bit scary) with EEG input is practical AI passing Turing test (I infer that from current publications I read). This is a promise that is with us for last 50 years but I think it is The time to expect it now, and at first it will not come in fanfares like in 70s and 80s.
P.P.S. OCZ MIA is still worth buying to play with upcoming technology early.
At last electroencephalography is entering consumer market. It's much like a mouse from 1985 yet - I remember one I've used in junior school, it was not very usable. But now any computer has a mouse, and that will likely be the case with EEG input device in same 10 years that it took mouse to become ubiquitous.
It is also a sweet spot for Intel and Intel AEs focused on consumer market. Processing data from 1,3,6 or 14 sensors is heavy DSP and requires multi-core CPUs. Current mobile gadgets don't have the horsepower, but will have once EEG input takes off as mobile chips are consistently 3 generations behind PC chips
I reckon the market will be huge, starting from gamers and medical and spreading to software engineers and then casual users. So it might happen that voice dictating input that Bill is promising every year will never take off being replaced with direct thought input. 60 WPM is achievable with current device that is 160$ in retail.
IP is in drivers, I estimate the hardware's BOM is less then 50$, so rogue Chinese ODMs can easily replicate in volume. I would have still bought some OCZ shares but it's difficult from New Zealand as it's traded on AIM. I would also expect that OCZ's competitors might do better product.As I understand OCZ is just repackaging some other's work (cyberlink?) and Emotive (fellow Aussies :) ) is developing it's own more sophisticated system, decent drivers and API.
Technology does not suffer from negative sides of Metcalfe's law on early stages as it can be used as mouse in casual applications, games and on-screen keyboard(Windows has it since w2k and at last it is useful). When market penetration will be high enough to justify developing new software, it will experience positive effect from Metcalf's law.
P.S. Another thing that I expect soon (5-10 years) and that will play nicely (but bit scary) with EEG input is practical AI passing Turing test (I infer that from current publications I read). This is a promise that is with us for last 50 years but I think it is The time to expect it now, and at first it will not come in fanfares like in 70s and 80s.
P.P.S. OCZ MIA is still worth buying to play with upcoming technology early.